Export-output causality in Barbados: A cointegration approach

Author(s): Greenidge, Kevin C; Peter, Sheryl (1999)

Created 22 Jul, 1999
Categories Working Papers
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This paper empirically tests export-output causality in the case of Barbados for the period 1970 to 1997, both at the aggregate and disaggregate level, utilising cointegration theory and augmented Granger causality tests. Although no causal relationship was found between aggregate exports and GDP, disaggregate analysis revealed analysis evidnce of cointegrating relationships not only between output and export of services, but also output and sugar exports. Further analysis indicated that a bi-directional long-run relationship in the latter case.

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