Estimating Quarterly Real Output for CARICOM Countries

Author(s): Cayemitte, Jean, Marie (2007)

Created 01 Jan, 2007
Categories Working Papers
Views: 2141
The unavailability of short term economic data for CARICOM countries have often made it difficult to determine exogenous shocks and forecast their impact. Consequently, this paper develops quarterly real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates using the temporal disaggregration method of Lisman and Sandee (1964). The plausibility of these quarterly estimates is checked by considering two simple regression models related to money supply and real income. The results indicate that these models give parameters estimates that are in line with economic theory.

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